in sheer numbers-more troops, more tanks, more planes, and especially more ships. Pentagon officials routinely assert that China's military, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), already outmatches the U.S. military officials assume that a war over Taiwan could erupt the moment China masters such warfare? And why would such a war over Taiwan almost certainly turn into World War III, with every likelihood of going nuclear?įirst, let's consider "intelligentized" warfare. What does the Pentagon mean by "intelligentized" warfare? Why would it be so significant if China achieved it? Why do U.S. To appreciate just how terrifying that calculation is, four key questions have to be answered. If such a fate is to be avoided, far more effort will have to go into solving the Taiwan dilemma and finding a peaceful resolution to the island's status.
Let me, then, offer you a basic translation of that finding: as the Pentagon sees things, be prepared for World War III to break out any time after January 1, 2027. To the newsmakers of this moment, that might have seemed like far less of a headline-grabber than those future warheads, but the implications couldn't be more consequential. military response should it decide to invade the island of Taiwan, which they view as a renegade province.
The media, however, largely ignored a far more significant claim in that same report: that China would be ready to conduct "intelligentized" warfare by 2027, enabling the Chinese to effectively resist any U.S. As a Washington Post headline put it, typically enough: "China accelerates nuclear weapons expansion, seeks 1,000 warheads or more, Pentagon says." By 2030, it suggested, China would probably have 1,000 nuclear warheads-three times more than at present and enough to pose a substantial threat to the United States. When the Department of Defense released its annual report on Chinese military strength in early November, one claim generated headlines around the world.
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